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Capital Markets Today

Jul 9, 2020

The latest long-term mortgage default projections from many analyst is now hovering around 7%.   This number will be bifurcated by loan product with FHA loans seeing the bulk of the defaults.  However, this number is pure projection and the long term number will depend on

  • Expiration of the supplemental unemployment...


May 22, 2020

For distressed debt buyers, it could be the calm before the storm.  Some deals are floating about with investors pricing them as a sort of reconnaissance exercise to determine the bid/ask levels.

The first wave to hit was leveraged lenders, but most expect a sharp increase in deal flow by the 3rd or 4th quarter...


Apr 16, 2020

In just a matter of days, origination of alternative loans, known as “non-QM lending,” came to an abrupt halt.  Non-QM investors worry about risk in an economy shaken by COVID-19 and have stopped buying new loans.

Non-QM lenders now have loans sitting in their pipeline with no buyers.  This creates a problem for...


Apr 15, 2020

More than 10 million people applied for unemployment benefits in the last two weeks of March due to Covid-19 and some analysts predict the unemployment rate could climb to 25%.  Florida was hit hard in the 2008 crash and many in the state fear the Covid-19 shut down could result in more foreclosures and bankruptcies...


Apr 11, 2020

The bond purchasing program initiated by the fed along with the impact of COVID-19 has created extreme volatility in the 10-year treasury which influences long-term mortgage rates.  Just this month, the 10-year ranged from 45 basis points to 1.2%.

As a result of the erratic bond movement, there has been a wave of margin...